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FORSETA

Energy Balance & Portfolio Platform

Near-real-time energy balance and portfolio management platform for Turkish electricity distribution (EDAŞ) and retail (EPSAŞ) companies. Provides single-pane-of-glass visibility into grid energy flow with smart estimation, ML forecasting with P10/P50/P90 confidence bands, and EPİAŞ settlement validation — transforming million-dollar trading decisions from hours-late Excel to minutes-fresh intelligence.

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Key Features

Near-real-time energy balance with 15-30min micro-batch processing cycles
Pluggable adapter framework: EPİAŞ, TEİAŞ OSOS/EDW, Inavitas, weather and more
5-layer data architecture: source → netting → estimation → computed → series engine
Self-improving gap estimation: peer-ratio, similar-day, profile-rate, XGBoost/LightGBM
Probabilistic 24h forecasting with P10/P50/P90 confidence bands and ensemble auto-tuning
DAG-based series engine with +/- operators, cycle detection and custom formula support
EDAŞ/EPSAŞ dual-mode: single codebase, config-based separation with webhook integration
Energy balance dashboard with live formula visualization and trading mode for day-ahead decisions

Modules

A
ADP

Adapter Framework — Pluggable adapters (EPİAŞ, TEİAŞ OSOS/EDW, Inavitas, Utility, Weather) with independent cron, retry/fallback and dead-letter queue

D
DAT

5-Layer Data Architecture — Source store (raw), netting store (settlement), estimation store (gap-filled), computed values and series engine

E
EST

Estimation Engine — Pluggable strategies: peer-ratio, similar-day (temp-weighted), profile-rate expansion, XGBoost/LightGBM with accuracy tracking

F
FRC

Probabilistic Forecast — ML-primary next-24h forecasting with P10/P50/P90 confidence bands, ensemble auto-tuning and accuracy feedback loop

P
POR

Portfolio Manager — EDAŞ/EPSAŞ mode, EPİAŞ monthly sync with versioning, auto-classification (K2/DST/K1/K3/TM/OTOP) and change reports

S
SER

Series DAG Engine — DAG-based series with system (SGE, K2, DST, Sold) and custom series, +/- operators, cycle detection and forward-only changes

D
DSH

Balance Dashboard — Hero screen with live formula, per-component quality indicators, drill-down, alerts, forecast overlay and trading mode

A
ALR

Alarms & Monitoring — Data absence alarms, dark points list, adapter-level and series-level alerts with configurable thresholds